Direct answer
1x2 market is the final result market in football. You bet on one of three possibilities: 1 for a home win, X for a draw, and 2 for an away win.
It usually applies to 90 minutes plus stoppage time, without extra time or penalties.
Quick summary
| Question | Who wins the game or does it end drawn? |
|---|---|
| 1 | Home team wins. |
| X | Draw. |
| 2 | Away team wins. |
| Common mistake | Confusing 1 with 1X. 1 means only the home team winning; 1X is Double Chance. |
How it works
1x2 is the most direct result market. Unlike Over/Under or BTTS, here the question is not about goals, corners, or both teams scoring. The question is the final score outcome.
- 1: the home team needs to win.
- X: the game needs to end in a draw.
- 2: the away team needs to win.
The market is simple to understand, but it is not automatically easy. A favorite with poor odds can have negative EV.
Useful formulas
Implied probability = 1 / decimal oddFair odds = 1 / estimated probabilityEV = (estimated probability x odds) - 1Value appears when the odds exceed the fair priceExample in football
| Outcome | Odds | Implied probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1 - Home win | 2.10 | 47,6% |
| X - Draw | 3.20 | 31,3% |
| 2 - Away win | 3.60 | 27,8% |
If the model estimates 51% for the home team and the best odds are 2.10, the EV is positive:
EV = (0.51 x 2.10) - 1 EV = +7.1%This price exceeds the fair odds implied by the estimate, giving you a potential value opportunity to explore.
1x2 vs Double Chance
| Market | Example | What needs to happen |
|---|---|---|
| 1x2 - 1 | Home team wins | The home team needs to win. |
| Double Chance - 1X | Home or draw | The home team wins or the game ends in a draw. |
How it appears on Predora.si
On Predora.si, 1x2 is one of the markets available for football analysis. When you select this market, probability, EV, best odds, and factors all answer the final result question.
- See which side the Active Model favors.
- Compare the estimated probability with the bookmaker's odds.
- Check the best available odds.
- Compare home advantage, momentum, goal difference, attacking output, and draw risk.
FAQ about the 1x2 market
What does the X mean in 1x2?
The X means draw.
Does 1x2 count extra time and penalties?
Under the standard rule, no. It considers 90 minutes plus stoppage time.
Is the 1x2 market the same as final result?
Yes. It is a common way of referring to the final result market.
Can 1x2 have positive EV?
Yes, when the estimated probability is higher than the implied probability of the odds.
1x2 is simple, but it needs price
The 1x2 market is straightforward, but the decision should not stop at favorite or selection. Compare probability, odds, EV, and context.
