Direct answer
Double Chance is a football betting market in which you cover two of the three possible outcomes of a match.
It reduces the risk of missing the exact result, but it usually pays lower odds than the 1x2 market.
How does Double Chance work?
| Selection | What it covers | When it wins | When it loses |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X | Home or draw | Home team wins or draws | Away team wins |
| X2 | Draw or away team | Draw or away team wins | Home team wins |
| 12 | Home or away | Either team wins | Draw |
In plain Portuguese: Double Chance is buying protection. The question is whether that protection still has an interesting price.
Formula
Double Chance probability = probability of outcome A + probability of outcome BIf the model estimates 45% for the home team to win and 28% for a draw, the chance of 1X is 73%.
Chance of 1X = P(1) + P(X)Chance of X2 = P(X) + P(2)Chance of 12 = P(1) + P(2)EV = (estimated chance x odds) - 1Example in football
Imagine a game in which the home team is strong at home, but a draw also seems possible.
| Outcome | Estimated probability |
|---|---|
| Home team wins | 46% |
| Draw | 30% |
| Away team wins | 24% |
Chance of 1X = 46% + 30% = 76% Implied probability of odds 1.40 = 1 / 1.40 = 71.4%In this scenario, 1X can make sense because the estimated chance is above the implied probability of the odds.
Difference between 1x2 and Double Chance
| Point | 1x2 | Double Chance |
|---|---|---|
| Covered outcomes | 1 outcome | 2 outcomes |
| Example | Home team wins | Home or draw |
| Common odd | Higher | Lower |
| Common mistake | Betting just because it pays more | Betting just because it seems safe |
How it appears on Predora.si
When filtering by Double Chance, the reading stops asking only who wins and starts measuring protection against an unwanted outcome.
- Look at the estimated probability for selections such as 1X or X2.
- Compare the best available odds with the estimated chance.
- Check whether there is positive EV.
- Compare factors such as home advantage, balance, momentum, and draw risk.
Double Chance covers two outcomes. Compare the combined estimated probability with the odds to assess what that coverage costs.
FAQ about Double Chance
Is Double Chance the same thing as 1x2?
No. In 1x2 you choose one outcome; in Double Chance, you cover two.
What does 1X mean?
You win if the home team wins or if the match is a draw.
What does X2 mean?
You win if the match is a draw or if the away team wins.
What does 12 mean?
You win if either team wins and lose if there is a draw.
Protection needs value
Double Chance is useful when it protects a real scenario without destroying the price. High chance with bad odds can still be a weak bet.