Formulas used
CLV (%) = (Bet odds ÷ Closing odds − 1) × 100Implied probability = 1 ÷ decimal oddsDifference in p.p. = Implied probability of the closing line − Implied probability of the odds takenEstimated value = Stake × (Odds taken ÷ Closing odds − 1)
The main formula shows how much better or worse your odds were compared to the closing line. The difference in probability helps you understand the price movement. If the closing odds include bookmaker margin, the result is an approximation; when possible, use a vig-free/no-vig closing line.
Example in football
You took Over 2.5 goals in a Brasileirão match at 2.10. Before the match started, the closing line settled at 1.95.
CLV = (2.10 ÷ 1.95 − 1) × 100 = +7.69% Implied probability of the entry = 1 ÷ 2.10 = 47.62% Implied probability of the closing line = 1 ÷ 1.95 = 51.28% Difference = +3.66 p.p.
You beat the closing line. Even if this specific bet loses, the price you took was better than the market's final price. Repeating this kind of decision with a methodical approach can be a good sign of process.
When to use on Predora.si
On Predora.si, users can compare odds, see the best available odds, and evaluate chance/EV using the Active Model. The CLV Calculator comes in afterward as a process check: you can compare the odds you saw or took with the closing line and understand whether you were on the right side of the price.
Common mistakes
Evaluating a price using one result.
Measuring CLV from a single bet and drawing a quick conclusion.
Using a closing line with heavy margin and treating it as a perfect fair price.
Comparing different markets as if they were the same bet.
Ignoring that odds change quickly before the match.
Want to compare this calculation with real football odds?
Predora.si organizes Chance, EV, and best odds by market for independent comparison between estimate and price.
Explore Predora.siFAQ about the CLV betting calculator
What is CLV in betting?
CLV, or Closing Line Value, compares the odds you took with the closing line of the same market. It measures price and process, not the outcome of a single game.
How do you calculate CLV with decimal odds?
Use CLV (%) = (odds taken divided by closing odds minus 1) times 100. If you took 2.10 and the closing line was 1.95, the CLV is positive.
What does positive CLV tell me?
You obtained better odds than the closing line. Track CLV across comparable bets to evaluate how your pricing process measures up against the final market.
Which closing line should I use?
The closing line is the final price observed before the match starts; different references can produce different CLVs.
What's the difference between CLV and EV?
EV uses an estimated probability to assess value before the bet. CLV compares your odds with the closing line afterward, to assess whether you beat the market's final price.