Primera B Nacional

Estadio Centenario Dr. José Luis Meiszner · Avenida Vicente López y Esquiú, Barrio Libertador General San Martín

CSD Tristan Suarez crestCSD Tristan Suarez
2–0Finished
Quilmes crestQuilmes

CSD Tristan Suarez 2 x 0 Quilmes: prediction analysis

The model predicted correctly 5 of 5 settled markets.

Correct predictions

  • 1x2: prediction CSD Tristan Suarez; result CSD Tristan Suarez 2–0.
  • Double Chance: prediction CSD Tristan Suarez or draw; result CSD Tristan Suarez 2–0.
  • Over 2.5 goals: prediction Under 2.5; result 2 goals.
  • Both Teams to Score: prediction No; result No.
  • Over 9.5 corners: prediction Under 9.5; result 9 corners.

Final assessment: For this game, most settled predictions matched the observed results.

English AI analysis is currently unavailable for this game.

Market 1x2

#67118716
Odds (Active Model) Fair odds according to the active model The odds calculated from the active model's estimated probability.
Formula: 1 ÷ Estimated probability
2.04 / 49.1%
Best Market Odds The implied probability of the bookmaker offering the highest odds for this outcome. A reference for comparison with the model's estimate.
Formula: 1 ÷ Best market odds (highest-paying bookmaker)
1.95 / 51.3%
Edge (Mathematical Advantage) The difference between the model's probability and the implied probability of the highest-paying bookmaker. A positive value means the model estimates a higher probability than the odds imply; it does not guarantee a profit.
Formula: Probability − Implied probability (Book)
-2.1 p.p.
EV (Expected Value) A statistical estimate calculated from the Active Model's probability and the highest observed odds. If the Active Model's estimate is closer to the true probability than the odds-implied probability, positive EV may indicate estimated value at those odds. It is not a proven advantage, promise of profit, or guarantee of a result.
Formula: (Estimated probability × Odds) − 1
-4.2%

Odds Comparison

Bookmakers

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Probability Models

CSD Tristan SuarezDrawQuilmes
Predora Market Median 49.1% / 2.04 32.2% / 3.11 18.7% / 5.36

Market Double Chance

#67118716
Odds (Active Model) Fair odds according to the active model The odds calculated from the active model's estimated probability.
Formula: 1 ÷ Estimated probability
1.23 / 81.3%
Best Market Odds The implied probability of the bookmaker offering the highest odds for this outcome. A reference for comparison with the model's estimate.
Formula: 1 ÷ Best market odds (highest-paying bookmaker)
1.22 / 81.8%
Edge (Mathematical Advantage) The difference between the model's probability and the implied probability of the highest-paying bookmaker. A positive value means the model estimates a higher probability than the odds imply; it does not guarantee a profit.
Formula: Probability − Implied probability (Book)
-0.5 p.p.
EV (Expected Value) A statistical estimate calculated from the Active Model's probability and the highest observed odds. If the Active Model's estimate is closer to the true probability than the odds-implied probability, positive EV may indicate estimated value at those odds. It is not a proven advantage, promise of profit, or guarantee of a result.
Formula: (Estimated probability × Odds) − 1
-0.6%

Odds Comparison

Bookmakers

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Probability Models

1XX212
Predora Market Median 81.3% / 1.23 50.9% / 1.97 67.8% / 1.47

AI Analysis

Insufficient context

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Team Comparison

Data unavailable for completed games.

Market Over 2.5 goals

#67118716
Odds (Active Model) Fair odds according to the active model The odds calculated from the active model's estimated probability.
Formula: 1 ÷ Estimated probability
1.48 / 67.5%
Best Market Odds The implied probability of the bookmaker offering the highest odds for this outcome. A reference for comparison with the model's estimate.
Formula: 1 ÷ Best market odds (highest-paying bookmaker)
1.40 / 71.2%
Edge (Mathematical Advantage) The difference between the model's probability and the implied probability of the highest-paying bookmaker. A positive value means the model estimates a higher probability than the odds imply; it does not guarantee a profit.
Formula: Probability − Implied probability (Book)
-3.8 p.p.
EV (Expected Value) A statistical estimate calculated from the Active Model's probability and the highest observed odds. If the Active Model's estimate is closer to the true probability than the odds-implied probability, positive EV may indicate estimated value at those odds. It is not a proven advantage, promise of profit, or guarantee of a result.
Formula: (Estimated probability × Odds) − 1
-5.3%

Odds Comparison

Bookmakers

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Probability Models

OverUnder
Predora Market Median 32.5% / 3.07 67.5% / 1.48

Team Comparison

Data unavailable for completed games.

Market Both Teams to Score

#67118716
Odds (Active Model) Fair odds according to the active model The odds calculated from the active model's estimated probability.
Formula: 1 ÷ Estimated probability
1.63 / 61.4%
Best Market Odds The implied probability of the bookmaker offering the highest odds for this outcome. A reference for comparison with the model's estimate.
Formula: 1 ÷ Best market odds (highest-paying bookmaker)
1.60 / 62.5%
Edge (Mathematical Advantage) The difference between the model's probability and the implied probability of the highest-paying bookmaker. A positive value means the model estimates a higher probability than the odds imply; it does not guarantee a profit.
Formula: Probability − Implied probability (Book)
-1.1 p.p.
EV (Expected Value) A statistical estimate calculated from the Active Model's probability and the highest observed odds. If the Active Model's estimate is closer to the true probability than the odds-implied probability, positive EV may indicate estimated value at those odds. It is not a proven advantage, promise of profit, or guarantee of a result.
Formula: (Estimated probability × Odds) − 1
-1.8%

Odds Comparison

Bookmakers

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Probability Models

YesNo
Predora Market Median 38.6% / 2.59 61.4% / 1.63

Team Comparison

Data unavailable for completed games.

Market Over 9.5 corners

#67118716
Odds (Active Model) Fair odds according to the active model The odds calculated from the active model's estimated probability.
Formula: 1 ÷ Estimated probability
1.55 / 64.6%
Best Market Odds The implied probability of the bookmaker offering the highest odds for this outcome. A reference for comparison with the model's estimate.
Formula: 1 ÷ Best market odds (highest-paying bookmaker)
1.41 / 70.9%
Edge (Mathematical Advantage) The difference between the model's probability and the implied probability of the highest-paying bookmaker. A positive value means the model estimates a higher probability than the odds imply; it does not guarantee a profit.
Formula: Probability − Implied probability (Book)
-6.3 p.p.
EV (Expected Value) A statistical estimate calculated from the Active Model's probability and the highest observed odds. If the Active Model's estimate is closer to the true probability than the odds-implied probability, positive EV may indicate estimated value at those odds. It is not a proven advantage, promise of profit, or guarantee of a result.
Formula: (Estimated probability × Odds) − 1
-9.0%

Odds Comparison

Bookmakers

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Probability Models

OverUnder
Predora Market Median 35.4% / 2.82 64.6% / 1.55

Team Comparison

Data unavailable for completed games.

Cards

Team Comparison

Data unavailable for completed games.

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